In the USA, cases are increasing again, but deaths from COVID19 are still falling from the April peak. The US is now identifying more mild cases, but the recent increase in cases is almost certain to lead to more deaths per day in a the next few weeks. It’s beenContinue Reading
In Australia, it is now overwhelmingly likely that community transmission has disappeared from WA, Tasmania, SA, Northern Territory. Queensland is coming close to that point, but Victoria and NSW are still the laggards based on cases on 13 June. In Australia, we are now in the fortunate position of havingContinue Reading
Insight Increasingly, the best way to measure the toll of Covid19 around the world is not the reported deaths (such as from Our World in Data) but by looking at overall deaths in a population. As an example, the reported deaths to 27 April 2020 in the UK are 20,732,Continue Reading
Ever since I won the negative in a debate at school on the topic “that Anzac Day was the birth of modern Australia”, I’ve struggled to decide what I think of Anzac Day. Ultimately I would like it to be a day that is a day of remembrance, that makesContinue Reading
Insight Today the Australian Government talked about more modelling that would start to inform its strategy for lifting the lockdown. One particular piece of research informing that is well worth reading – this piece from the Doherty centre which talks about two key issues – how many symptomatic cases ofContinue Reading
Insight One of the key numbers that many people use to track how well we are going on containing Covid19 is the number of confirmed cases. I obsessively watch it myself. Today (14 April) there are 6,400 confirmed cases in Australia, which is only a 0.5% increase on the dayContinue Reading
The Australian government has released modelling about the Covid19 pandemic and its possible impact on the health system (for some reason they have been quite reluctant to do so). I haven’t had a chance to read it yet, so I’ll be blogging about it tomorrow. But if anyone would likeContinue Reading
Today’s Insight Today, I’m looking at the testing data – how much is positive. The graph belows the trend of what proportion of Covid19 tests in Australia is positive. The graph shows that the percentage of positive tests is slowly increasing. When this data was first reported, NSW only hadContinue Reading
Today’s link I’ve talked a lot about levels of testing on this blog. Australia continues to test for Covid19 at a higher level than many countries around the world. And the proportion of tests that are positive continues to hover around the 2% level in Australia, which is a reassuringlyContinue Reading
Today’s Link The Economist’s chart of the day is an attempt to work out how much Covid19 is in the community in various countries. Across the 11 European countries studied, official government statistics indicate that there are 319,500 confirmed cases, affecting less than 0.1% of the population. The Imperial researchersContinue Reading