We had a small party at our place for the election last night. I realised how well I’d chosen the guest list when the people that didn’t know each other started comparing notes on how much they loved Antony Green. This was the preparation I did for the evening:
The liberal/conservative seats were on the left, with Labor on the right, arranged roughly in margin order (note that the serious geeks will realise that I missed two independent seats on my first attempt). The small gap near the bottom of the left hand side was the point at which Labor won government. By about 9, when it was pretty clear what had happened, the wall looked like this:
(note clues as to amount of alcohol consumed in the meantime) with about 16 seats moved across to the right and another 10 or so moved down to be “in doubt”. I moved Bennelong between “in doubt” and “won by Labor” about four times, as Antony’s statistical precision was overruled by Red Kerry’s natural caution to definitively call the Prime Minister losing his seat. But it’s there on the right in this picture.
It was a great night.